With support from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (BMGF), the United States Agency for International Development (USAID), and the CGIAR Research Program on Policies, Institutions, and Markets (PIM), IFPRI is working with governments and local partners, including IFPRI’s country programs, to evaluate the economic costs of COVID-19 in developing countries, and identify policy and public investment priorities for relief (2020) and recovery (2020-2022) periods, and over the longer-term (to 2030). Working at national and sector levels, the program is (a) assessing the exposure of national food systems to COVID-19 shocks; (b) identifying vulnerable population groups, including poor men and women; and (c) recommending policies to mitigate risks to food security, poverty, and diet quality.
IFPRI’s COVID-19 studies are already underway in some countries, driven by government and demand. Support from BMGF and USAID is allowing IFPRI to do the following:
- Increase the number of countries where COVID-19 studies are being conducted.
- Maintain in-country engagement with governments and local partners, USAID missions, BMGF in-country staff, and the Alliance for a Green Revolution in Africa (AGRA).
- Broaden the analysis to cover not only COVID-19 impacts, but also relief and recovery policies.
- Track a range of risks (climate variability, global market uncertainty) and outcomes (diet quality).
Furthermore, we wish to acknowledge the contributions of the following donors in their support to the studies undertaken in the countries listed below:
- The Australia Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (Papua New Guinea)
- The European Commission (Rwanda)
- The Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office of the UK (Malawi)
- The International Fund for Agricultural Development (Egypt, Tunisia, Jordan and Yemen)
- The National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) and the CGIAR Research Program on Policies, Institutions and Markets (China)
- The National Treasury of South Africa, the South African Reserve Bank, the European Union, UNU-WIDER and the CGIAR Research Program on Policies, Institutions and Markets (South Africa)
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The German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ) commissioned and administered through the Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) Fund for International Agricultural Research (FIA), and the South African Reserve Bank.
See a synthesis note of the project’s results from June 2021 here.
Outputs / Resources
James Thurlow
Director, Foresight and Policy Modeling (FPM)Karl Pauw
Senior Research Fellow
Sena Amewu
Research OfficerKwaw Andam
Country Program Leader / Senior Research FellowLillian Anderson
Research AnalystEmerta Aragie
Research FellowChanning Arndt
Senior Director, Transformation Strategies, CGIAR and IFPRISeth Asante
Senior Research OfficerRui Benfica
Senior Research FellowClemens Breisinger
Senior Research FellowKevin Chen
Senior Research FellowAndrew Comstock
Senior Research AnalystStephen Davies
Nonresident FellowBarun Deb Pal
Research CoordinatorDavid Laborde Debucquet
Senior Research FellowXinshen Diao
Deputy Division Director, Development Strategy and Governance DivisionPaul Dorosh
Director, Development Strategy and Governance (DSG)Olivier Ecker
Senior Research FellowHyacinth Edeh
Country Program ManagerDalia Elsabbagh
Senior Research AssistantPeixun Fang
Senior Research AnalystSherwin Gabriel
ScientistKalle Hirvonen
Senior Research FellowBrian Holtemeyer
Senior Research AnalystKristi Mahrt
Senior Research AnalystKarl Pauw
Senior Research FellowFlor Paz
Research AnalystValeria Piñeiro
Acting Head of the Latin American region & Senior Research CoordinatorAngga Pradesha
Senior ScientistAbdul Wajid Rana
Program LeaderJosee Randriamamonjy
Senior ScientistMariam Raouf
Senior Research AssociateSherman Robinson
Research Fellow EmeritusDavid Spielman
Director, Innovation Policy and Scaling (IPS)Emily Schmidt
Senior Research FellowJohn Ulimwengu
Senior Research FellowJenny Smart
Senior Program ManagerAlemayehu Seyoum Taffesse
Senior Research Fellow/Program Leader- EthiopiaJames Thurlow
Director, Foresight and Policy Modeling (FPM)Phoo Pye Zone
Research Analyst
Nilar Aung
Applied Policy Research Specialist, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics of Michigan State University (MSU)Bob Baulch
Professor of Economics, RMIT University, VietnamRosemary Botha
Associate, One Acre FundRob Davies
Senior Non-resident Fellow at United Nations University-World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)Carmine Paolo De Salvo
Sector Senior Specialist in Rural Development at the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB)Amna Ejaz
Research Lead on the EU funded Sindh Union Council and Community Economic Strengthening Support (SUCCESS) Programme at Rural Support Programmes Network (RSPN), PakistanLuis Flores
Adjunct Assistant Professor, Department of Community Sustainability at Michigan State UniversityVictor Hernandez
Head of the Department of Research “A” at the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI), Mexico City, MexicoRaúl Hinojosa-Ojeda
Associate Professor in the Department of Chicana and Chicano Studies at University of California-Los Angeles (UCLA), Los Angeles, CaliforniaAhmed Kamaly
Deputy Minister, Ministry of Planning and Economic Development of the Government of the Arab Republic of EgyptMouchera Karara
Associate Minister for Economic Policies in the Ministry of Planning and Economic Development, EgyptYenizié Koné
Head of MSU Mali programThouraya Lakoud
Principal Economist, ITCEQStephanie Levy
Guest Lecturer in the Department of International Development, London School of Economics (LSE), LondonMuhammad Saad Moeen
Energy Forecasting Specialist, Integrated Energy Planning (IEP) for Sustainable Development, Ministry of Planning, Development & Special Initiatives, Government of PakistanBoipuso Modise
Senior Economist Economic Policy, National Treasury of South AfricaKhin Maung Nyunt
Senior Research Fellow, Myanmar Development Institute (MDI)Victor Oboh
Assistant Director and Head, Capital Market Office, Macroeconomic Analysis Division, Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of NigeriaSothea Oum
Executive Director, Centre for Strategy and Innovation Policy (CSIP), CambodiaMarcelo Pleitez
Research Fellow in the North American Integration and Development Center (NAID) at University of California-Los Angeles (UCLA), Los Angeles, CaliforniaSelim Raihan
Executive Director, South Asian Network on Economic Modeling (SANEM)Saadatou Alkassoum Sangaré
Chef de l'Unité Etudes et Recherches (Economiste), Cellule d'Analyse des Politiques publiques et d'Evaluation de l'action Gouvernementale (CAPEG)Dirk van Seventer
Consultant at United Nations University-World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER), HelsinkiWitness Simbanegavi
Economist at the South African Reserve Bank, South AfricaAmaliah Syarifah
Lecturer, Faculty of Economics and Management at Institut Pertanian Bogor (IPB University)Bernard Tembo
Research Fellow - Emerging Themes Unit at the Zambia Institute for Policy Analysis and Research (ZIPAR)Resham Thapa
Assistant Professor at Tribhuvan University, Nepal
The short‐term economywide impacts of COVID‐19 in Africa: Insights from Ethiopia
The economic costs of COVID-19 in Sub-Saharan Africa: Insights from a simulation exercise for Ghana
COVID-19 lockdowns, income distribution, and food security: An analysis for South Africa
Impact of COVID-19 on China's macroeconomy and agri-food system: An economy-wide multiplier model analysis
Guatemala: The impact of COVID-19 and other shocks, and policy implications: Final report
Linked Economic and Animal Systems (LEAS) model
Recovering from COVID-19: Economic scenarios for South Africa
Guatemala: The impact of COVID-19 and policy implications: Second report
Honduras: The impact of COVID-19 and policy implications: Second report
Synopsis: Assessing the impacts of COVID-19 on household incomes and poverty in Rwanda: A microsimulation approach
- Research Post
Extraordinary COVID-19 social support programs in South Africa yield economic benefits during the pandemic period
- Event Post
Policy seminar: Food systems lessons from COVID-19
- Research Post
COVID-19 and other shocks facing Papua New Guinea's food economy
- Research Post
Model: Impact of falling remittances amid COVID-19 on Yemen’s war-torn economy
- Research Post
COVID-19 lockdowns are imposing substantial economic costs on countries in Africa
- Research Post
Assessing the toll of COVID-19 lockdown measures on the South African economy
- Gracie Rosenbach, Emerta Aragie, and James Thurlow (IFPRI-Rwanda Blog, April 2021)
- Rui Benfica (PIM Blog, March 2021)
- IFPRI Program/Country Event
Assessments of the Impacts of COVID-19 on Myanmar's food security and welfare
- IFPRI Program/Country Event (Sep, 14 - 15 2020)
Assessing the Impact of COVID-19 on Food and Nutrition Security in Myanmar
- IFPRI Policy Seminar
Virtual Event - COVID-19 & Global Food Security
- IFPRI Program/Country Event (Jun, 10 - 11 2020)
Assessing the Impact of COVID-19 on Myanmar’s Economy and the Impact of Falling Remittances on Poverty
- IFPRI Program/Country Event
Economic Impacts of COVID-19 on Growth, Poverty and Food Systems in Malawi: Initial Results
- In the News
Consequences of COVID-19 (Ahram Online)
- In the News
2020: Nightmare for businesses (The Nation)
- In the News
Holding together (Masress.com)
Project Nexus SAMs
Project RIAPA Data and Modeling System