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Spotlight on the Coronavirus Outbreak
As the impacts of COVID-19 grow, IFPRI continues to expand its analysis. Blog posts this week include discussions on the impacts on food supply chains across the developing world, how fiscal and monetary policies can mitigate economic damage, the rising threat of zoonoses in Africa, and the pandemic’s possible effects in India. ( Visit Spotlight)
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Preparing for Possible Surge in India: Pandemic-related economic shocks will likely be severe for India, due to slowing economic growth and vulnerability of its large informal sector. S. Mahendra Dev outlines the likely impacts on Indian agriculture, supply chains, food and nutrition security, and livelihoods. (Read Blog)
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A New Era of Pandemics?: Evidence indicates that pandemics caused by zoonotic pathogens may be increasing in frequency, and Bernard Bett, Delia Randolph, and John McDermott argue that trends such as population growth and urbanization suggest Africa is likely poised to become a growing source for the emergence and spread of such diseases. (Read Blog)
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India’s Food-Based Safety Net: As part of its COVID-19 response, India is adapting the world’s largest portfolio of food distribution and safety net programs to provide food to its poorest citizens. Devesh Roy, Ruchira Boss, and Mamata Pradhan lay out policy actions that the country can take to improve its public programs and protect its food markets. (Read Blog)
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Fiscal Policy Options for Developing Countries: Eugenio Díaz-Bonilla provides suggestions for how developing countries can mitigate the economic impact of COVID-19, including minimizing production bottlenecks, supporting employment and income, expanding money supplies, and managing the supply and demand for foreign currency. (Read Blog)
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Uneven Impact on Food Supply Chains: Thomas Reardon, Marc Bellemare, and David Zilberman analyze the impacts of the health crisis on food supply chains in developing countries, suggesting that farm operations will be spared the worst, while small and medium businesses in the midstream and downstream segments of value chains will face significant problems. (Read Blog)
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Growing Risk of Disease
Africa is catching up to Asia as an infectious disease hotspot. Population growth and rising urbanization and incomes are increasing demand for milk, meat, and eggs, driving rising densities of humans and domestic animals that in turn are raising the risk of the emergence and spread of zoonotic diseases on the continent. Bernard Bett, Delia Randolph, and John McDermott explore the implications and opportunities for controlling emerging infectious diseases in Africa. ( Read Blog)
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We know that food systems around the world are affected… but the way they are disrupted by COVID-19 is quite different. It differs by commodities, it differs by geographies, it differs by rich and poor countries…. If we want to help the poor, we have to do it right.” – Johan Swinnen, Director General, IFPRI (Global Food Policy Report Launch Event, April 7, 2020)
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COVID-19: Implications for Global and Country-Level Food Security, Nutrition, and Poverty
April 14, 2020
IFPRI researchers take an early look at the pandemic’s global and country-level implications).
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