The conflict in Ukraine is having widespread deleterious impacts on the economies and food systems of many low- and middle-income countries. Rising prices for food, fuel, and fertilizer have raised pressing concerns about food security and poverty. To better understand the risks in specific countries, IFPRI researchers have modeled the impacts of fuel, fertilizer, and food price shocks on GDP, employment, poverty, hunger, and diet quality in 19 countries in Africa and Asia, and examined the relative cost effectiveness of different policy interventions.

Please join us for a presentation of this work and a discussion on how policymakers and other key actors are addressing the challenges created by this crisis in specific countries.

IFPRI’s modeling work on the impacts of the Ukraine crisis is supported by the UK’s Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office, the U.S. Agency for International Development, and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and benefitted from working with two CGIAR’s research initiatives: Foresight and Metrics and National Policies and Strategies.

This is the sixth event in an IFPRI seminar series on Food and Fertilizer Price Trends: Impacts on global food security.

Introduction

• Johan Swinnen, Global Director, CGIAR Systems Transformation Science Group & Director General, IFPRI 

Overview of methodology and key results of IFPRI’s impact and policy response analysis

• Xinshen Diao, Deputy Division Director, Development Strategy and Governance Division, IFPRI (Presentation)
• James Thurlow, Senior Research Fellow, IFPRI (Presentation)

Panel

Key Considerations for Nigeria

• Bedru Balana, Research Fellow, IFPRI (Presentation)
• Sugra Mahmood, Deputy Director, Irrigation agriculture and crop development, Federal Department of Agriculture, Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development (FMARD) (Presentation)
• Surendra Srivastava, Head, Fertilizer Marketing, Indorama Eleme Fertilizers and Chemicals Ltd., Abuja, Nigeria

Key Considerations for Egypt

• Mariam Raouf, Senior Research Associate, IFPRI (Presentation)
• Fadi Abdelradi, Associate Professor, Cairo University (Presentation)
• Mahmoud El Bassiouny, Executive Director, The Food Industries Chamber in the Federation of Egyptian Industries (FEI)

Key Considerations for Kenya

• Lensa Omune, Research Officer, IFPRI (Presentation)
• Peter Odhiambo Owoko, Head: Policy Coordination, Directorate of Agricultural Policy Research and Regulations, State Department For Crop Development & Agricultural Research (Presentation)
• Anthony Kioko, Chief Executive Officer, Cereal Growers Association (Presentation)

Closing Remarks

• Chris Hillbruner, Division Chief, Analysis and Learning Office of Policy, Analysis, and Engagement Bureau for Resilience and Food Security, United States Agency for International Development (USAID) 

Moderator

• Charlotte Hebebrand, Director of Communications and Public Affairs, IFPRI